polytracker

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# PolyTracker 📈

Track prediction markets in real-time. Monitor Polymarket, Manifold, and other platforms. Get alerts on price swings, volume spikes, and sentiment shifts.

## When to Use

✅ **USE when:**

- Following election/political markets
- Tracking event probabilities
- Finding market inefficiencies
- Monitoring specific topics
- Getting alerts on price movements
- Analyzing market sentiment
- Making informed bets

## When NOT to Use

❌ **DON'T use when:**

- Building automated trading bots → against platform TOS
- Attempting market manipulation → illegal
- Insider trading → illegal and unethical
- Sybil attacks → banned behavior

## Example Interactions

**You:** Watch Polymarket: "2026 Presidential Election"

**Paw:** *connects to Polymarket API*

✅ **Tracking:** 2026 Presidential Election

**Current odds:**
- Candidate A: 52% ($0.52)
- Candidate B: 38% ($0.38)
- Candidate C: 10% ($0.10)

**Market stats:**
- Volume (24h): $847,320
- Liquidity: $2.1M
- Traders: 3,482

**I'll alert you when:**
- Price moves >5% in 1 hour
- Volume spikes >2x average
- New significant bets (>$10k)

**Notifications:** Telegram (instant) 📊

---

**Price alert:**

**Paw:** 📈 **Market movement:** 2026 Presidential Election

**Candidate A:** 52% → 48% (-4% in 30 min)
**Candidate B:** 38% → 42% (+4%)

**Trigger:** Large bet detected
- $47,000 on Candidate B
- Single whale wallet
- 5 minutes ago

**Volume spike:** 3.2x normal

**What changed:**
- Major news outlet just published poll showing Candidate B gaining ground
- Twitter sentiment shifting (+12% positive mentions)

**Your move:**
- Check news? (I can summarize)
- Review market history? (chart)
- Place bet? (via Polymarket directly)

What do you want to know? 🎯

---

**You:** Summarize news

**Paw:** *scans recent news*

**Recent developments (last 30 minutes):**

1. **CNN Poll** (published 28 min ago)
   - Candidate B +5 points vs last month
   - Margin of error: ±3%
   - Sample: 1,200 likely voters

2. **Twitter/X trending:**
   - #CandidateB debate performance going viral
   - 47k tweets (last hour, +340%)
   - Sentiment: 68% positive

3. **Prediction market impact:**
   - Polymarket: B +4%
   - Manifold: B +3%
   - PredictIt: B +2%
   - Cross-platform alignment ✅

**Analysis:**
This looks like genuine momentum, not just noise. Poll + social + cross-platform movement = real signal.

**Market is responding rationally.** No obvious inefficiency to exploit right now.

Want me to keep watching for arbitrage opportunities? 🔍

---

**You:** Yes, alert me if Polymarket and Manifold diverge >3%

**Paw:** ✅ **Arbitrage alert configured**

**Watching:**
- Polymarket vs Manifold
- Threshold: >3% divergence
- Market: 2026 Presidential Election

From Flexasaurusrex/OpenPaw, MIT.

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