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calibrated-inference

When asked to estimate something unstated, produce a legible correctable evidence chain rather than refusing or fabricating a number.

Skill by Kalabint

IndexedAGPL-3.0★ 6
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Works with Claude Code, Claude apps, Codex, Cursor, Gemini CLI, GitHub Copilot, VS Code, OpenCode, Goose, Windsurf. Read the repository before you give any tool access to your data.

npx agentmarket install skill/kalabint-calibrated-inference

Asks which of your tools to add it to (Claude Code, Codex, Cursor, VS Code, Windsurf, Gemini CLI, Claude Desktop) and shows the change first. See https://agentmart.dev/cli.

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About

When asked to estimate something unstated, produce a legible correctable evidence chain rather than refusing or fabricating a number.

Use cases: ml

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Permissions

What this skill can do and what it asks for, from its SKILL.md. Checked Oct 25, 2026.

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Network hosts it talks to 1

  • codeload.github.com · found in install command

Files it touches

  • ~/.claude/skills/calibrated-inference

What's inside

Skill name
calibrated-inference
Description
When asked to estimate something unstated, produce a legible correctable evidence chain rather than refusing or fabricating a number.
License
AGPL-3.0
Instructions
9 lines in SKILL.md · view on GitHub

Files (1)

  • SKILL.md

SKILL.md (first lines)

# Calibrated inference

"Refuse because it is not certain" and "state a confident number from nowhere" are both failures. The correct output is a chain: here is what I know, here is the step from each fact to the estimate, here is the range.

**Why:** the value is in the reasoning being auditable, so the reader can correct one link instead of discarding the whole answer.

**How to apply:** show the inputs, the transform, and the uncertainty. Make each step something the reader could point at and call wrong. Prefer a wide honest range to a narrow invented one.

From Kalabint/llm-tooling, AGPL-3.0.

More from Kalabint/llm-tooling

Signals

Stars
6
Forks
0
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0
Last commit (this folder)
Sep 7, 2026 (1 month ago)

From GitHub (fetched Oct 24, 2026).

Details

License
AGPL-3.0
First seen
Oct 24, 2026
Last checked
Oct 24, 2026

More from Kalabint

Cite this page

calibrated-inference skill. Agent Mart. https://agentmart.dev/skills/kalabint-calibrated-inference (last updated 2026-10-24)